Posts Tagged ‘cashflow quadrant’

What is Ghost Month?

If you’re new to the world of Stock Market, you might be hearing the term “ghost month” by the investors/traders circle. Well, we visited some sites on how they view the Ghost Month as it influences business market for many. Read below:

* This years Ghost month starts on August and ends September.

The Ghost Festival is a traditional Chinese festival and holiday, which is celebrated by Chinese in many countries. In the Chinese calendar (a lunar calendar), the Ghost Festival is on the 14th night of the seventh lunar month.

In Chinese tradition, the seventh month in the Chinese calendar is called the Ghost Month, in which ghosts and spirits, including those of the deceased ancestors, come out from the lower world to visit earth. The Ghost Festival is the climax of a series of the Ghost Month celebrations. Traditionally, ancestor worshiping was an important part of the festivals, with activities including preparing ritualistic offering food, and burning hell money and bags containing cloth to please the visiting ghosts and spirits of the ancestors, as well as other deities. A very solemn festival of ancestor worshiping, the festival nevertheless represents a connection between the ancestors and the descendants, the living and the dead, earth and heaven, as well as body and soul.

So why does this matter to you? Well ghost month is embedded in the chinese tradition where you’re not supposed to spend unnecessarily during the ghost month. this really does happen every lunar ghost month of the year, as some foreign (Asian) funds do not like to make investments at this time. Stock trading is considered an unnecessary expense what this means for traders is less liquidity. If there’s nobody there to really buy up a stock then there’s really no way for stocks to go but sideways or even…. DOWN

Credit to: http://financemanila.net

*Bearish mood to persist as ‘ghost month’ rolls in

TRADING AT the stock market this week would still be influenced by crude prices and the performance of US stocks, analysts said, but consolidation is also expected during this “ghost month.”

“The outlook for the market remains bearish for the long and medium term,” said Jose L. Vistan of AB Capital Securities, Inc. “Short-term view looks cautiously positive as the near-term rally seems to be on shaky legs.”

He added that although last week’s rally might continue this week, the market still lacks the solid fundamentals to make it snap out of its downtrend.

The composite index last week made a surprising gain of 2.8% or 71.49 points to 2,584.21 as local investors focused on crude prices on Friday, ignoring the drop in US stocks.

Credit to: http://www.bworldonline.com

* Ask advice with any old timer in stock market and he’ll tell you to stay away from stocks during the Chinese ghost month. Indeed, the table below shows that stocks tended to perform poorly during this period (12 out of the last 19 years), registering an average loss of 4.1 percent.

PHISIX Performance during the Hungry Ghost Months (1987 – 2005)

*Source: Technistock, Philequity Research

Double whammy

This year is a double whammy of sorts because of the occurrence of a double ghost month. The Chinese lunar calendar (as the name implies) follows the cyclical movement of the moon. Therefore, in the Chinese calendar, a year has a total of 354 days or 11 to 12 days shorter than the solar year. To balance the lunar and solar calendars, a leap lunar month is added every three years. And this year, the leap month occurs in the seventh month with the regular seventh month from July 25 to August 23 and a leap seventh month from August 24 to September 21.

So far, the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi) is up 3.9 percent since the ghost month started last July 25. Will it stay up or will the jinx of the ghost month finally haunt it in the end? Only time will tell.

Trading simulation

Heeding the old advice of staying out of the stock market during the ghost months should have earned investors more money in their pockets. A simulation below shows that if one peso was invested in the PSEi in 1987 and a strategy of selling before the ghost month and buying it back afterwards was employed, the investment would now be worth P15.10 (or an annual compounded rate of 14.8 percent). Meanwhile, a simple buy-and-hold strategy would have resulted to only P5.01 (or an annual compounded rate of 8.6 percent).

Credit to: http://www.yehey.com/finance

*August is known to be the Chinese ghost month where the perception is that liquidity and the index takes a breather due to the Chinese tradition. However, it has been proven that this phenomenon does not have its usual hold on the market anymore. How will it be this year?

Credit to: http://www.absolutetraders.com

RICH and POOR Dads Compared

His poor dad says: “I CAN’T AFFORD IT!” while his rich dad says: “HOW CAN I AFFORD IT?”

His poor dad says: “MONEY IS THE ROOT OF ALL EVIL!” while his rich dad says: “LACK OF MONEY IS THE ROOT OF ALL EVIL!”

By viewing these two contrasting ideas, his poor dad’s brain stopped working when he said those, killing his initiative and promoting negativity while his rich dad’s brain kept on thinking on ways creating initiative and promoting optimism. Which one is best? Of course, undeniably, it’s rich dad’s ideas!

Robert Kiyosaki continued and coined the term RAT RACE. This is the race of our lifetime INCOME and SPEND. We receive our income regularly from our paychecks yet we spend the same to pay bills and satisfy our wants. We are now trapped in this rat race. We live our lives to pay our everyday bills! Now, how can we escape from this rat race trap? By understanding the Cashflow Quadrant.

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